Raw LLM Responses

> 75% of the US stock market growth of the past few years has come from AI, but that was built on a promise. That AGI was just around the corner. That's not correct. Even without AGI, the potential benefits of AI can be tremendous. > Now companies like OpenAI are pivoting to selling ads and porn, a sure sign they do not think AGI is about to arrive. Ads and porn are two of the most proven business models online. So they are not unlikely to be a big part of how OpenAI might turn a profit.  > I'd guess there will be a backlash against Big Tech. Perhaps 2025 is the high watermark of their political influence.  I think it would be good if a few firms had less political influence. But that would not necessarily mean they can't still earn money and grow.  > AI is already broadly unpopular with many people, and that will only grow when they see if it has crashed the economy and their pensions. Cars were also deeply unpopular with manufacturers of horse carriages.  Or think about the Weaver's Uprising: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silesian_weavers'_uprising Means: Yes, AI can be quite disruptive. But that's *because* it's successful. > AI, the technology, will still be with us, even if many of today's AI companies won't be. Even without AGI, it still has the potential to be transformative and economically disruptive. Rules-based businesses — legal, accounting, transaction, and claims processing could all be made obsolete. Humanoid robotics and self-driving, both aspects of AI, will eventually replace millions of human workers. > The AI bubble crashing would mean a recession. Recessions mean companies cut workforce numbers. Ironically, this time, they will be able to replace many of those people who were let go with AI. So the crash that AI causes will also speed its adoption. I agree with the first paragraph. And kinda also the second -- but I still don't see why you seem to predict such a high likelihood of the AI bubble to burst